States won by the new ruler’s own
forces and abilities
In the following discussion dealing with states where both the
ruler and the form of government are entirely new, no one
should be surprised if I choose to cite the most impressive
examples. The fact is that although people almost always
proceed by imitation, following in another man’s footsteps,
you can never tread a model’s path or reproduce his qualities
exactly. So, if you’re sensible, you set out to follow a trail
blazed by someone who was truly great, someone really worth
imitating, so that even if you’re not on the same level yourself
at least you’ll reflect a little of his brilliance. It’s like the clever
archer who senses that his target is too far off, knows the
limitations of his bow, and so aims far higher than he nor-
mally would, not because he really wants his arrow to go that
high, but to have it fall from a height on to his target.
So let’s start by saying that when it comes to entirely new
regimes where a new ruler has seized the state, the ease or
difficulty of his staying in power will be in proportion to his
abilities or failings. And since you can’t go from being an
ordinary citizen to a ruler without either talent or favourable
circumstances, we must suppose that one or the other of
counteracting these factors will be offsetting, at least in part, a great many
difficulties. That said, those who haven’t relied too much
on lucky circumstances have lasted longer. Another positive
factor is that since in this case the ruler doesn’t already possess
another state, he will be forced to live in his new territory.